FFI Engine — Survival Analysis

Reading guide

What Analysis can tell you

Checking the current evidence…

What is it?

Analysis groups scored tokens by their current sector tags and home chain. It shows today's distribution of FFI stress and, when historical membership is verified, the share of a fixed cohort that stayed below FFI 80 across monthly samples. It presents observations; it does not forecast returns or prove that a project is economically dead.

How does it work?

Death-zone now counts currently scored group members with FFI ≥80; healthy now counts those below 20. For 12-month survival, the initial cohort contains members scored below 80 about a year ago. At each monthly sample, FFI ≥80 or a missing scored observation is a first failure; later re-entry does not reverse it. The historical group uses today's sector and chain classifications.

How to read it

Market death zone: The current share in FFI ≥80 among the 2,000 highest market-cap scored tokens, when that population is verified. It uses a different denominator from the sector and chain rows.
Tokens / cohort: Tokens is the currently scored group. Cohort is the earlier below-80 group; its membership is provisional when historical populations are unverified. These counts are not a gain/loss comparison.
12m survived: First-failure retention of the initial cohort, published only when every sampled historical population is verified and the cohort has at least 10 members.
Death-zone / healthy now: Shares of the current scored group at FFI ≥80 and FFI <20. They need not add to 100%: scores from 20 to below 80 are in neither group.
Δ90d: Today's death-zone share minus the share about 90 days earlier, in percentage points. The populations can differ; the change is withheld if the earlier population is not verified.
DEX liq / mcap: Median of eligible token ratios only. Read the n=x/y coverage beside it before comparing groups. Pool USD includes both sides of a pair and is not executable exit capacity. “Review” flags ratios above 100%.
— / population unverified: Unavailable or withheld, never zero. An initial cohort larger than 10 does not establish a survival result when historical membership is unverified.

How to use it

Check the capture time and evidence status before using any comparison.
Use a sector row to inspect its current stress and group size. Sort by a table header; the focused readout follows your selected sector.
Search a home chain and compare its current stress with its token count. Use the verified-result filter only when historical results exist.
Check liquidity coverage, then inspect individual assets on Tokens and their underlying evidence. A group percentage is a research lead, not a decision about one token.

Concrete examples

Compare sectors

Loading current sector comparison…

Compare chains

Loading current chain comparison…

Check the denominator

Loading current liquidity coverage…

Know when to withhold a conclusion

Loading historical evidence status…

The reproducible cohort ledger contains the sampled calculation and its evidence limits; it is not independent validation of missing historical source responses.

Presented, not predicted At each monthly sample, cohort failure means FFI ≥80 or a missing scored observation. Later re-entry does not revive the cohort. Missing coverage can count as failure; this is not proof of economic death.

Checking historical population evidence…

Focused survival curve

One selected sector versus the cross-sector median—without the 16-line overlap.

Cohorts below 10 observations are excluded from the median

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Selected sector Cross-sector median

Sector survival matrix

Choose a sector to update the focused readout. Use column headers to sort.

Sector	Tokens	Cohort	12m survived	Death-zone now	Δ90d	Healthy now	DEX liq / mcap

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How to read 12m survival is available only for initial cohorts of at least 10 members. This is a retrospective calculation using current tags and home-chain attribution; historical taxonomy was not retained. Missing scored observations and FFI ≥80 are separate first-failure causes in the reproducible cohort ledger. DEX liq / mcap requires retained pool inputs and a timestamped denominator within 24 hours. Legacy ratios are withheld from medians. Pool USD includes both sides of each trading pair and is not exit capacity. Ratios above 100% are flagged without clipping.

Chain deep dive

Search the available home-chain cuts below.

Verified 12m result only

Chain	Tokens	Cohort	12m survived	Death-zone now	Δ90d	Healthy now	DEX liq / mcap

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Thin-cohort warning Chains churn tokens quickly. Rows with cohorts below 10 retain their current distribution statistics, but historical survival is marked as too thin. Cohort failure means a sampled FFI at least 80 or absence of a scored observation, with no revival; missing coverage can count as failure and is not proof of economic death. This differs from the Overview survivor screen and Tokens lifecycle labels.